Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 58.700907 66.767411 75.091673 84.290863 94.139926 104.338376 115.666626
2025-02-16 46.137348 57.535419 69.911715 84.212313 100.150775 117.249390 136.861794
2025-02-23 38.996210 52.201397 67.095019 84.855673 105.194545 127.520015 153.646515
2025-03-02 33.218350 47.536755 64.258733 84.760164 108.783808 135.656347 167.614231
2025-03-09 28.973054 44.125034 62.390824 85.335205 112.751582 143.902115 181.434148
2025-03-16 24.706563 40.189525 59.475878 84.294780 114.516664 149.366236 191.867342
2025-03-23 22.177173 38.204251 58.732419 85.679421 118.993315 157.857214 205.700736
2025-03-30 20.114558 36.615296 58.311782 87.314123 123.657665 166.491311 219.653035
2025-04-06 17.460383 33.926419 56.244136 86.690553 125.414795 171.560570 229.332751
2025-04-13 14.628514 30.672030 53.179681 84.579136 125.156469 174.075552 235.875280
2025-04-20 13.860816 30.438345 54.176195 87.721583 131.464346 184.542522 251.931557
2025-04-27 12.704884 29.476187 54.071552 89.343019 135.803779 192.587130 265.077261
2025-05-04 10.842460 27.197676 51.989236 88.251711 136.659649 196.380298 273.162642
2025-05-11 9.234633 25.147894 50.098079 87.311654 137.634224 200.274116 281.349783
2025-05-18 8.229579 24.029139 49.500882 88.089977 140.803690 206.875990 292.834480
2025-05-25 7.133042 22.594389 48.321998 87.975347 142.740508 211.895275 302.356182
2025-06-01 6.302204 21.554581 47.679633 88.565838 145.577307 218.031248 313.251852
2025-06-08 5.252178 19.901495 45.949128 87.501399 146.127832 221.216235 320.456626
2025-06-15 4.749100 19.336243 45.939899 88.917576 150.019763 228.670817 332.993515
2025-06-22 4.333303 18.904472 46.117443 90.589188 154.252896 236.568633 346.102034
2025-06-29 3.616044 17.630187 44.788230 89.951570 155.273576 240.293839 353.958942
2025-07-06 2.795716 15.887681 42.518859 87.792280 154.111695 241.130509 358.132097
2025-07-13 2.714268 16.117852 43.750652 91.005808 160.461960 251.790290 374.769199